Will it be possible to grow garlic in 2022 (will the garlic planting area increase or decrease)

New Year's Day has passed. For our garlic farmers, is there really a more reliable speculation or prediction about the price trend of garlic in 2022? Today we are going to talk about the market situation of garlic in 2022.

How to grow garlic in 2021

The 2021 garlic harvest was sold at a good price, with an average selling price of 2.40 yuan. Each mu of garlic produced 2,800 kilograms, with a gross income of 6,700 yuan. After deducting the cost of 3,000 yuan, each mu of garlic made nearly 4,000 yuan; it can be said that 3 mu of garlic can make 11,000 yuan, which is a considerable income for farmers.

Can garlic still be grown in 2020?

It is feasible to plant garlic in 2022, and it is speculated that the price of garlic will increase slightly in 2022. As long as you grasp the planting timing and technology, it is easy to get higher profits.

As a condiment, the market demand for garlic is very stable, but with a good harvest in 2021 and an increase in planting area in 2022, the price increase will not be too much.

Garlic market trends in 2022

As a result, when garlic is planted in 2022, garlic farmers will expand their area and investment. Therefore, the amount of garlic next year will increase by about 30% compared to this year, and farmers must be cautious.

The amount of garlic will increase next year compared to this year. As for the price, it depends on the profit of garlic in cold storage in 2021. If it makes money, the price of garlic will not be low in 2022. If it loses money, the price will fall.

The chance of losing money is very small, because the amount of garlic in 2021 is small and the unit price does not exceed 2.60 yuan . This price is suitable for the affordability of Chinese consumers and also for the affordability of foreign consumers.

As an old garlic farmer, I can tell you clearly that the price of garlic cannot be predicted unless you have the absolute financial strength to buy all the garlic in China. So be cautious.

The price of garlic has always been summed up by a common saying here: "The price of garlic is like a ghost." Many garlic merchants have lost their entire fortunes and have to move away from home because of garlic.

What factors affect the price of garlic?

There are many factors that affect the price changes of garlic, such as planting area, natural disasters, inventory, international situation, and the amount of hot money entering the market .

Inventory impact

The price of garlic is mainly affected by the inventory of the previous year. For example, if the inventory of garlic is less than 500,000 tons, the price of garlic will continue to rise.

According to the normal garlic inventory, 1 million tons is normal, but the garlic inventory seen on the International Garlic Trade Network in 2021 is 3.45 million tons, as of November 20.

Garlic planting area

For our garlic farmers, everyone will fall into such a cycle. When the price of garlic is high, they will choose to expand garlic planting.

In years with low prices, people will choose to reduce the planting area. This cycle has been summarized into the so-called garlic change cycles and "profit in one year, break-even in two years, and loss in three years."

International Situation and Capital

Every year, there are so-called garlic speculation groups entering the market. In recent years, the more popular ones are Wenzhou Gang, Beijing Gang and Northeast Gang, etc. The entry of hot money will definitely drive the hot market of garlic trading to a certain extent.

But if there is no better consumer terminal, garlic will just be hyped as a physical stock.

Impact of natural disasters

The high price of garlic in 2016 was closely related to the frost damage that occurred in winter, so frost damage and late spring cold also had a relatively large impact on garlic.